Black Americans’ desire to vote in this year’s election is down sharply compared with four years ago, according to a Washington Post-Ipsos poll conducted last month — a potentially troublesome sign for President Biden, whose ascent was powered by Black voters in 2020 and who has intensified efforts to court them before November’s election.

Fewer Black Americans say they will show up to the polls this year when compared to 2020, a trend that could spell bad news for President Joe Biden.

Fewer Black Americans are certain they will vote in this year’s election than in the 2020 election, according to a new Washington Post/Ipsos survey. Only 62 percent of Black voters said they are “absolutely certain” they will vote in November’s election,

According to the poll from April, out of 1300 black voters, only 62% say they are absolutely certain to vote. That number is down 12% compared to June of 2020.